11/9/11

San Francisco Mayoral Election 2011

This entry was originally posted on 11/9/11 and the tables below have been updated to reflect the final election results.

The unofficial (but unlikely to change) results of yesterday's mayoral election in SF are in: Interim Mayor Ed Lee held off 15 challengers and retained the post to which he was appointed by the Board of Supervisors 11 months ago.

Voter turnout (33.8%) is shaping up to be near the lowest of any San Francisco mayoral election since at least 1975. I suspect it was lower than pre-'75 races, but the City's website does not go further back than that.

Lee's total votes as of Thursday, 11/9/11, (68,721) included all ballots that marked him as a 1st, 2nd or 3rd choice under the San Francisco's ranked-choice voting system. John Avalos will be the runner-up, accumulating 43,554 votes. The remaining 44,751 ballots will not be reflected in the final tally.

The fact that Lee will garner considerably fewer votes than many of the second place finishers in previous SF mayoral contests did not stop Lee-booster Willie Brown from declaring Lee "the people's choice."

NOTE: 2011 results not finalized yet. UPDATE: the results have been finalized.

San Francisco Mayoral Election Turnout


Year Registered Votes cast Turnout
2011 464,380 157,026  197,181
33.8  42.7%
2007 419,598 149,465 35.6%
2003 466,127 253,872 54.5%
1999 467,294 228,247 48.8%
1995 425,969 193,913 45.5%
1991 425,316 215,751 50.7%
1987 380,852 153,720 40.4%
1983 371,005 170,628 46.0%
1979 378,232 196,341 51.9%
1975 302,344 200,804 66.4%

San Francisco Mayoral Election Results

Year 1st Votes 2nd Votes
2011 Lee 68,721  83,954
43.8 59.8% Alavos 43,554  56,337 27.7  40.2%
2007 Newsom 105,596 70.6% Mecke 9,072 6.1%
2003 Newsom 133,546 52.6% Gonzalez 119,329 47.0%
1999 Brown 131,983 57.8% Ammiano 89,428 39.2%
1995 Brown 107,500 55.4% Jordon 82,173 42.4%

2011: Ranked-choice, instant run-off. The updated figures reflect the tallies after 12 rounds of RCV2007 & 1983: No run-off election needed

Prior to 2007 SF mayoral elections were an open field like yesterday's contest, but if no candidate received more than 50% of the vote, a run-off between the two top vote-getters would be held about a month later.

Sources: 
Election results by year (1995-2011) http://www.sfgov2.org/index.aspx?page=1671.
Voter turnout (1960-2010) http://www.sfgov2.org/index.aspx?page=1670

1 comment:

Iris said...

And by "people" he means Willie Brown and Rose Pak.